Investor Shelf

US Reports & Market Data (2026)

175 documents

Debt maturity and government spending multipliers

Research paperEuropean Central BankNovember 202646 pages

Empirical analysis of post-war US data demonstrates that government spending shocks financed with short-term debt yield significantly higher output multipliers than those financed with long-term debt, typically exceeding unity under short-term financing.

Profiting From Prediction

Research paperAcademic researchNovember 202683 pages

An anonymous trader earned nearly half a million dollars in profit on a prediction market platform by wagering on the removal of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro shortly before his capture by the U.S. military.