Forecast Assessment 2025-2035: Main Results (RTE)

Summary

• France still imports almost 60 % of the final energy it consumes, and its energy bill was 61 Md€ in 2024.p.4
• In the rapid decarbonisation trajectory, electricity consumption would rise by 135 TWh in ten years.p.5
• The state strategy would cut the share of fossil energies from about 60 % today to 30-35 % by 2035.p.5
• In 2024, electricity represented only 26.4% of the energy consumed in France.p.9
• About 57% of the energy consumed in France is of fossil origin, of which 38 % is petroleum products.p.9
• Nuclear output returned to about 360 TWh in 2024.p.9
• France recorded an export balance of nearly 90 TWh in 2024, bringing 5 Md€ of revenue.p.10

Key insights

1. Fossil fuel imports would fall by about 500 TWh, 40 % of it due to electrification alone.p.6
2. The electricity need in 2035 is adjusted down by about 35 TWh compared with the 2023 analysis.p.6
3. Solar develops at about 4 to 5 GW per year and onshore wind at about 1 GW per year.p.9
4. The energy bill is about 50 to 70 Md€ each year and peaked at nearly 120 Md€ during the energy crisis.p.4
5. Domestic electricity consumption in 2024 was close to 450 TWh, broadly stable compared with 2023.p.8