The Global Cooperation Barometer 2025, Second Edition (McKinsey & Company)

Summary

• The barometer uses 41 indicators across five pillars and examines the period from 2012 to 2023.p.4
• Elections took place in 72 countries in the last year, with many incumbent governments facing strong voter backlash.p.7
• An estimated 122 million people worldwide are forcibly displaced, double the number from a decade ago.p.7
• Just 17% of the Sustainable Development Goals are on track to meet the 2030 deadline.p.7
• Over 3 billion people live in countries that spend more on debt interest than on education or health.p.8
• Generative AI alone could generate $2.6 trillion to $4.4 trillion in value across industries.p.9
• Generative AI is used by the organizations of 65% of respondents to a McKinsey & Company survey of global executives.p.9

Key insights

1. Global cooperation is above pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels but has flatlined over the past three years.p.6
2. A significant degradation in global peace and security has pulled the barometer's overall measurement down.p.6
3. Trade and capital cooperation dropped slightly, driven mostly by reductions in goods trade in China and developing economies.p.6
4. AI is projected to affect almost 40% of jobs around the world, according to the IMF.p.9
5. China is expected to invest $1.4 trillion in its AI industry over the coming years.p.9
6. Time series are indexed to 2020, with all values in 2020 equal to one.p.5