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Do Merged Indian SMEs Exhibit Greater Productivity Growth Over 3–5 Years Than Comparable Non-Merged Firms? (Journal of Economics Finance and Management Studies)

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Research paperJournal of Economics Finance and Management StudiesOctober 202610 pages15 min readAadit BhayanaOriginal source
Key number
31.1%
MSME share of India's GDP (2023-24) p.1
What changed
2,007 to 2,186 deals
M&A and private equity deal volume (2022 vs 2024) p.1
Largest segment
over 99%
Micro enterprises share of registered MSMEs p.2

Summary

  • The gross value added (GVA) of MSMEs accounted for 31.1% of India's GDP in 2023-24, rising from 27.3% in 2020-21 and 30.1% in 2022-23.p.1
  • MSMEs accounted for 45.56% of India's total merchandise exports between April and September 2023, representing a major share of national trade.p.1
  • India's total M&A deal volume increased from 2,007 deals worth USD 127 billion in 2022 to 2,186 deals valued at USD 116 billion in 2024.p.1
  • Over 3.16 crore MSMEs were registered on the Udyam Portal by December 2023, with reported jobs exceeding 20.39 crore by mid-2024 across mostly micro enterprises.p.2
  • Credit guarantee cover under CGTMSE for micro and small enterprises was increased from Rs 5 crore to Rs 10 crore in Budget 2025-26 to support business scaling.p.7
  • The Pre-Packaged Insolvency Resolution Process (PPIRP) for MSMEs has seen minimal equity and uptake, with only ten applications admitted in its first three and a half years.p.7

Key insights

  1. Productivity gains from Indian SME mergers are moderate and occur primarily in horizontal, technology-sharing, and adequately financed deals rather than across all transactions.p.1
  2. More than 99% of registered small business entities in India are micro enterprises, creating high sector fragmentation and a strong structural case for consolidation.p.2
  3. Early accounting-ratio studies generally showed flat or declining post-merger operating performance because they lacked matched control groups to filter out macroeconomic trends.p.4
  4. Studies using difference-in-differences and propensity score matching confirm that merged firms achieve higher productivity growth than non-merged peers over a 3- to 5-year horizon.p.6
  5. Current Indian policies successfully improve the efficiency and speed of SME mergers but lack mechanisms to filter for or encourage specifically productive transactions.p.7
  6. Post-merger productivity improvements operate primarily through technology transfer, managerial restructuring, and crossing MSME size thresholds that unlock access to formal credit and export incentives.p.7
  7. Distress-driven acquisitions under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code require distinct evaluation benchmarks compared to voluntary strategic mergers.p.8

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