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Analysis of the Efficiency of Investment Activity of Small Businesses in the Regions of Uzbekistan (FINANCE MONEY AND CREDIT)

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Research paperFINANCE MONEY AND CREDITNovember 202610 pages15 min readJavlonbek ButayevOriginal source
Key number
61.4%
Small business share of total fixed-capital investment in 2025 p.7
Largest segment
83.7%
Highest regional small-business investment share (Namangan) p.7
What changed
-12.8%
Change in active small businesses, 2021 to 2025 p.5

Summary

  • The number of active small business entities fell by 12.8% between 2021 and 2025, reaching 403 767 at the end of 2025.p.5
  • Year-end small business entities rose from 462 834 in 2021 to 523 556 in 2022, then fell, with 403 767 recorded at the end of 2025.p.4
  • Small business accounted for 61.4% of total fixed-capital investment in 2025.p.7
  • Regional small-business shares of total investment range from 39.5% in Qashqadaryo to 83.7% in Namangan.p.7
  • In 2025 small business investment was UZS 56 128.9 billion in Tashkent city, UZS 51 178.8 billion in Namangan and UZS 44 103.5 billion in Tashkent region.p.6

Key insights

  1. Higher nominal investment or firm numbers do not by themselves show higher returns on capital.p.1
  2. Investment figures are nominal and not deflated by a price index.p.4
  3. Karakalpakstan's small business investment rose from UZS 2 415.5 billion in 2021 to UZS 13 541.0 billion in 2025, about 5.6 times in nominal terms.p.6
  4. Over 2021-2025 the number of small businesses rose only in Khorezm (+6.7%) and Tashkent city (+1.9%).p.5
  5. Andijon recorded the largest decline in active small businesses, at -38.6%.p.5
  6. The paper proposes a staged mechanism based on project-level NPV, cash flows and debt service coverage rather than aggregate statistics.p.8

Topics and entities

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