Polymarket

Company · US · 5 documents

Key number

$116 billion

Total Global Fintech Investment. KPMG p.2

Key number

300 billion USD

Total Stablecoin Market Capitalization. Bitwise p.15

Key number

20 billion USD

Kalshi monthly trading volume by early 2026. Academic research p.19

Key number

1.24 billion

Total on-chain trades analyzed. arXiv (Cornell University) p.1

Key number

$2 billion

Polymarket investment by ICE. Finance and Society p.14

Profiting From Prediction

Research paperAcademic researchNovember 202683 pages

An anonymous trader earned nearly half a million dollars in profit on a prediction market platform by wagering on the removal of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro shortly before his capture by the U.S. military.

Whether Is Not When: Separating Occurrence from Timing in Polymarket Prices

Research paperarXiv (Cornell University)October 202611 pages

Between 2022 and September 2026, over 3.1 million accounts traded contracts with a face value of about USD 110 billion in 1.24 billion trades across 2.37 million Polymarket markets.

The Nihilism Industry: Streaming Disavowal and Ressentiment in the Age of Prediction Markets

Research paperFinance and SocietyAugust 202617 pages

By early 2026, Kalshi surpassed $1 billion in trading volume on Super Bowl Sunday as the prediction market industry grew nearly 400% year-on-year.

Pulse of Fintech H2 2025

ReportKPMGJanuary 202668 pages

Total global fintech investment increased from $95.5 billion in 2024 to $116 billion in 2025, ending three consecutive years of decline.

The Year Ahead: 10 Crypto Predictions for 2026

ReportBitwiseJanuary 202528 pages

In 2025, major crypto assets hit record all-time high prices, with Bitcoin at $126,080, Ethereum at $4,946, Solana at $293, and XRP at $3.65.