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Validation of Capital Structure Models in the Light of Trade-Off Theory: The Case of S&P 500 Companies (Studia i Prace Kolegium Zarządzania i Finansów / Szkoła Główna Handlowa)

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Research paperStudia i Prace Kolegium Zarządzania i Finansów / Szkoła Główna HandlowaDecember 202520 pages30 min readLeszek Mosiejko, Michał BernardelliOriginal source
Key number
0.000166
R-squared of the linear regression on DER p.13
Largest segment
-0.63 coefficient
Strongest Spearman correlation with DER (Structure of Assets) p.12

Summary

  • The study covers 418 S&P 500 companies and their financial statements from 1998–2022, with six ratios derived from them.p.7
  • Coefficients of variation for DER range from 196% to 8277%.p.8
  • The Spearman correlation between DER and Structure of Assets is -0.63, the strongest of the five variables.p.12
  • The linear regression has an R-squared of 0.000166, so it explains practically none of the variation in DER.p.13
  • The F-test p-value of 0.905594 indicates the chosen variables are inadequate.p.13

Key insights

  1. The study extends an earlier analysis by testing its conclusions on a much longer and more recent period.p.3
  2. DER is defined as Total Liabilities divided by Total Equity.p.7
  3. The data comprise 417 units over 25 periods, a panel structure the earlier article did not use.p.12
  4. The RESET specification test returns a p-value of 0.92, so the functional form is acceptably specified.p.14
  5. None of the variables significantly affects DER in the pooled, fixed-effects or random-effects models.p.15

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