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Stock Market Reactions to Health Policy Announcements: An Event Study on Listed Healthcare Stocks on the Casablanca Stock Exchange (Revue Internationale des Sciences de Gestion)

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Research paperRevue Internationale des Sciences de GestionOctober 202625 pages38 min readNOUREDDINE BAROUCH, Mohamed ADRAOUIOriginal source
What changed
-5.41%
Akdital abnormal return, GenZ 212 start [0;+1] p.13

Summary

  • Over a two-session window, Akdital gains 5.0% after the health budget increase announcement and loses 5.4% at the start of the GenZ 212 movement.p.2
  • According to the Court of Audit, 31.94 million people were registered at end 2024, but only 25.6 million actually benefited from coverage, and the private sector captured about 91% of billed expenses.p.3
  • Vicenne joined the Casablanca Stock Exchange on 15 July 2025 after an offer that drew more than 37,000 subscribers.p.3
  • The sample covers 737 sessions, from 4 October 2023 to 2 October 2026.p.8
  • Empirical probabilities are computed on 503 placebo sessions without announcements.p.12
  • After the decrees on territorial health groupings, Akdital falls 9.58% over six sessions.p.13

Key insights

  1. Institutional announcements have no significant average effect on listed healthcare stocks.p.2
  2. After the 2026 budget announcement, the MASI also rose 4.7% over the two days and the raw stock gain reached 9.3%.p.13
  3. The 4.25% drop linked to the royal speech occurred the next day, with a 5.6% fall after reports of a clinic closure, so the event is excluded from interpretation.p.14
  4. With empirical probabilities, GenZ 212 and the 2026 budget remain significant at the 5% level on the main window (0.026 and 0.028).p.17
  5. After the Holm multiple-testing correction, the empirical probabilities rise to 0.206.p.18
  6. Results rest on a single liquid company and cannot be transposed to unlisted clinics or the pharmaceutical industry.p.21
  7. The competitor-state proposition was formulated after the first results, which exposes the study to over-interpretation.p.21

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