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Approaching an intelligence explosion.

Approaching an intelligence explosion.
Chart by Redpoint Ventures. Source: redpoint.com

The chart illustrates the exponential projection of effective AI compute (normalized to GPT-4) from 2018 to 2030, charting the progression from earlier models (GPT-2, GPT-3) to anticipated milestones such as AGI and Superintelligence.

LabelValue shown on the chart
GPT-2Preschooler
GPT-3Elementary Schooler
GPT-4Smart High Schooler
o3College / PhD Student
Automated AI ResearcherAutomated AI Researcher
AGIAGI
Superintelligence?Superintelligence?

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