Approaching an intelligence explosion.

The chart illustrates the exponential projection of effective AI compute (normalized to GPT-4) from 2018 to 2030, charting the progression from earlier models (GPT-2, GPT-3) to anticipated milestones such as AGI and Superintelligence.
| Label | Value shown on the chart |
|---|---|
| GPT-2 | Preschooler |
| GPT-3 | Elementary Schooler |
| GPT-4 | Smart High Schooler |
| o3 | College / PhD Student |
| Automated AI Researcher | Automated AI Researcher |
| AGI | AGI |
| Superintelligence? | Superintelligence? |
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